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Evaluation of Precipitation Estimates from Prism for the 1961-90 and 1971-2000 Data Sets, Nevada: Usgs Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5291(English)

Evaluation of Precipitation Estimates from Prism for the 1961-90 and 1971-2000 Data Sets, Nevada: Usgs Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5291(English)

          
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About the Book

The Oregon Climate Service estimated precipitation in Nevada for two 30-year periods, 1961-90 and 1971-2000, using the computer program, Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model, or PRISM. The accuracy of PRISM estimates for Nevada has not been evaluated statewide relative to known observation points. The intent of the PRISM model is not to specifically match simulated precipitation amounts to recorded station data, but rather to model large-scale orographic processes. This allows for interpolation to locations beyond the recorded data set assuming those locations have similar physiographic and climatic properties. PRISM provides spatially-estimated averages of long-term precipitation that sometimes are not well correlated to known measured points. The known measuring points do not have associated accuracy ratings, and the PRISM model does not include prediction error relative to the station record. Consequently, for this report a difference of 15 percent relative to the recorded data was selected as an acceptable range of error or difference. Two data sets were compiled and used in this study to compare recorded precipitation to PRISM precipitation estimates for the 1961-90 and the 1971-2000 periods, and to the National Weather Service normals and the Western Regional Climate Center averages. The National Weather Service normals, however, are considered to be the most accurate reporting of the 30-year means for both the 1961-90 and the 1971-2000 periods. For the earlier and latter periods respectively, 89 and 85 percent of PRISM estimates were within the acceptable range of error for the National Weather Service data set and 63 and 70 percent were within the acceptable range of error for the Western Regional Climate Center data. However, the percent differences are higher when comparing PRISM estimates to recorded data from some of the high-elevation SNOpack TELemtry (SNOTEL) sites and to sites in the 5,500 to 7,500 feet elevation zone.


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781244045323
  • Publisher: Proquest, Umi Dissertation Publishing
  • Publisher Imprint: Proquest, Umi Dissertation Publishing
  • Height: 246 mm
  • No of Pages: 38
  • Series Title: English
  • Sub Title: Usgs Scientific Investigations Report 2005-5291
  • Width: 189 mm
  • ISBN-10: 1244045322
  • Publisher Date: 11 Sep 2011
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: English
  • Returnable: N
  • Spine Width: 2 mm
  • Weight: 86 gr


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