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Under the Nuclear Shadow: Situational Awareness Technology and Crisis Decisionmaking(CSIS Reports)

Under the Nuclear Shadow: Situational Awareness Technology and Crisis Decisionmaking(CSIS Reports)

          
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About the Book

Improvements to strategic situational awareness (SA)—the ability to characterize the operating environment, detect and respond to threats, and discern actual attacks from false alarms across the spectrum of conflict—have long been assumed to reduce the risk of conflict and help manage crises more successfully when they occur. However, with the development of increasingly capable strategic SA-related technology, growing comingling of conventional and nuclear SA requirements and capabilities, and the increasing risk of conventional conflict between nuclear-armed adversaries, this may no longer be the case. The Project on Nuclear Issues (PONI) at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the University of California, Berkeley’s Nuclear Policy Working Group undertook a two-year study to examine the implications of emerging situational awareness technologies for managing crises between nuclear-armed adversaries.

Table of Contents:
Acknowledgments iii Chapter 1 1 Introduction 1 The Growing Nuclear Shadow 2 The Evolving Strategic Situational Awareness (SA) Ecosystem 3 Pathways to Escalation 6 Evolution or Revolution? 8 Chapter 2 | Understanding Situational Awareness Technologies and the Emerging Situational Awareness Ecosystem 10 Platforms, Critical Enablers, and Defense and Counter Capabilities 10 Key Attributes of Strategic SA Capabilities 11 Surveying the Global Strategic SA Capabilities Landscape 15 Chapter 3 | Risk Factors of Situational Awareness Technology and Strategic Stability 19 Advanced Strategic SA Capabilities and Stability Risks 19 Assessing Risk in the Emerging Strategic SA Ecosystem 20 Action-Reaction: Understanding Dynamic Risk Factor Interactions 24 Risk Versus Reward: Evaluating Strategic SA Capabilities 25 Chapter 4 | Pathways to Escalation 28 Provocation 28 Entanglement 33 Information Complexity 38 Chapter 5 | Tabletop Exercise Takeaways 44 Analysis 48 Chapter 6 | The Way Ahead 54 Key Conclusions 55 Recommendations 57 About the Authors 58


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781442281547
  • Publisher: Centre for Strategic & International Studies,U.S.
  • Publisher Imprint: Centre for Strategic & International Studies,U.S.
  • Height: 279 mm
  • No of Pages: 78
  • Sub Title: Situational Awareness Technology and Crisis Decisionmaking
  • ISBN-10: 1442281545
  • Publisher Date: 15 Nov 2021
  • Binding: Digital (delivered electronically)
  • Language: English
  • Series Title: CSIS Reports
  • Width: 216 mm


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